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Wizards lose to Bulls in wild finish

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The Wizards lost a wild and entertaining game, 120-119, when Chicago Bulls forward DeMar DeRozan hit a three-beating buzzer against Corey Kispert and CORRECTION: It was Bradley Beal, NOT Kentavious Caldwell-Pope doubles in the corner .

DeRozan’s last-second shot came seconds after Wizards forward Kyle Kuzma hit a three to give Washington a two-point lead with three seconds on the clock.

With many players out of the roster (for both teams) due to Covid protocols, illness and injury, Washington’s Bradley Beal started PG and played a terrific game. His shot wasn’t great – just 8-20 from the ground and 0-4 from the three-point range – but he was 11-13 from the free throw line en route to 27 points, and he set a new high in career with 17 assists. He also added four interceptions and just two turnovers.

Kuzma was great for a third game in a row. Last night he ran the Bulls with 29 points and 12 rebounds, as well as that go-ahead three in the dying seconds.

Washington’s other star was Daniel Gafford, who scored 19 points on 10 field goal attempts and had eight rebounds (four at each end). He was off the field in the closing minutes of the game, as head coach Wes Unseld Jr. chose to play Anthony Gill.

Gill’s overall performance wasn’t impressive, but he was probably there due to his better lateral agility and ability to switch to smaller offensive players. Considering the amount of Chicago pick-and-roll for LaVine and DeRozan, it was probably the right decision to sacrifice some rim protection for defensive versatility.

The Wizards ultimately lost the game at the three-point line where Chicago shot 17-34 and Washington only went 6-27.

The next step for the Wizards is a couple of home wins against the Charlotte Hornets and Houston Rockets.

Below are the four factors that decide who wins and loses in basketball – shot (efg), rebound (offensive rebounds), ball handling (flips), foul (free throws made).

I simplified them a bit. Although the factors are usually presented as percentages, this is most useful over a full season. In one game, the raw numbers for each category are easier to understand.

Four Factors: Bulls 120 to Wizards 119

FOUR FACTORS BULLS WITCHES
FOUR FACTORS BULLS WITCHES
EFG 0.589 0.563
OREB 6 6
TOV 15 11
FTM 21 21
RHYTHM 102
ORTG 118 117

Below are a few performance metrics, including the Player Production Average (PPA) game score (very similar to what I previously called Scoreboard Impact Rating). The PPA is my overall production metric, which attributes players to the things they do to help a team win (scoring, bouncing, playing, defending) and berating them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls).

Game Score (GmSC) converts individual production into points on that game’s scoreboard. The scale is the same as the points scale and reflects the value of each player total contributions for the game. The lowest possible GmSC is zero.

PPP is a per-possession measure designed for larger data sets. In small samples, the numbers can get weird. But some readers prefer it, so I’m including PPA scores as well. Reminder: in PPA, 100 is medium, higher is better, and the replacement level is 45. For a single game, the replacement level is not very useful, and I reiterate the caution about small samples producing results. strange.

POSS is the number of possessions each player had on the ground in this game.

PTS = points scored

ORTG = Offensive Score, which is RBIs per individual possession x 100. The league average last season was 112.3. Points produced are not the same as points scored. He understands the value of assists and offensive rebounds, as well as sharing the credit when receiving an assist.

USG = offensive usage rate. The average is 20%.

ORTG and USG are versions of stats created by Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver and slightly edited by me. ORTG is a measure of efficiency that takes into account the value of shots, offensive rebounds, assists, and turnovers. The USG includes shots on the ground and free throws, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.

Key statistics: wizards

WITCHES MIN POSSIBILITY Please ORTG Ultrasound APP GMSC +/-
WITCHES MIN POSSIBILITY Please ORTG Ultrasound APP GMSC +/-
Bradley Beal 43 91 27 123 31.4% 214 41.8 3
Kyle kuzma 40 84 29 123 24.3% 188 34.0 4
Daniel Gafford 20 43 19 178 22.9% 261 24.1 -12
Anthony gill 25 52 9 126 14.4% 53 6.0 3
Corey kispert 29 61 ten 105 14.1% 45 5.9 0
Deni Avdija 34 72 ten 108 11.5% 21 3.2 1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pape 39 82 13 75 19.5% 17 3.0 -5
The Waters of Tremont 8 18 2 98 8.8% 26 1.0 4
Alize Johnson 3 6 0 0.0% 0 0.0 -3

Key statistics: bulls

BULLS MIN POSSIBILITY Please ORTG Ultrasound APP GMSC +/-
BULLS MIN POSSIBILITY Please ORTG Ultrasound APP GMSC +/-
Zach lavine 38 81 35 129 31.3% 183 34.6 5
Coby White 38 80 20 153 16.5% 142 26.7 0
Derrick Jones Jr. 28 59 9 158 10.4% 126 17.2 -1
Nikola Vucevic 35 75 22 108 24.0% 85 15.1 13
DeMar DeRozan 35 75 28 106 37.5% 81 14.3 12
Go Dosunmu 21 46 4 136 8.4% 47 5.0 -17
Troy Brown Jr. 30 63 2 125 2.9% 27 4.0 -4
Tyler cook 3 6 0 253 4.7% 240 3.2 -2
Thomas thomas 12 26 0 0 12.1% -278 0.0 -1

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