What’s the point of prognosticating if you can’t swing for the fences, Amirite? Sure, you can go somewhere else and read some predictions for a very gradual 2022, but you come to me for the wild stuff, the possibilities that will make you say, “Wow, I didn’t see it coming.”
These predictions aren’t necessarily out of balance, but I think most prove that while we can get things done in key tech areas, we’re also just as likely to mess them up or make the wrong choices. Case in point: In 2021 we saw an incredible series of wireless headphones that include water resistance and noise cancellation, and yet we still go for Apple’s more expensive option.
As we close 2021 and move into 2022, I’d like to prepare you for what will inevitably be the two steps forward, one step back, the nature of all things tech.
2021 was the year that Facebook forced us to face the possibility of a virtual existence but the current reality of that unreality is far from ideal. That could change in 2022.
It will be full speed ahead for VR and NFT fans in a suddenly exploding Metaverse world where everyone has bought cheap VR headsets from Meta ($ 99 rings or so) and locks in for an hour a day or so. more to have virtual meetings, play again -blocky Capture the flag and cook metaverse animals with digital spices.
we will shop for TVNs (worth even less in a fully virtual world) and virtual cars which we can then drive to our virtual friends’ homes, where we take turns trying out Metaverse outfits.
Reports of people suffering from what is called meta-aversion will be widespread.
We talked about tech regulation for the whole of 2021, with endless hearings and even more postures (from politicians and tech leaders).
In 2022, the U.S. government will cease holding hearings and, with President Biden’s signature, adopt the first online Bill of Rights and regulations which will reshape COPA and the Communications Decency Act’s Article 230, so that they finally all have a meaning, which means that these companies are no longer immune to responsibility for the content of their platforms. Social media and tech companies will have exactly 12 months to fully comply with any new rules or pay hefty fines each quarter.
Soon after, lawmakers will realize that the new laws repeatedly mention Jack Dorsey as CEO of Twitter (he left in 2021) and the no longer existing “Facebook” company.
Augmented reality glasses
After years of companies large, small and vaporware, seeking pole position in what will surely be one of the most impactful personal technology segments of the years, augmented reality is entering a new phase in 2022.
Apple, Snapchat, Google, Meta, and 45 other companies will launch their latest augmented reality glasses, but Apple will rule the day with $ 799 iGlasses which, while still being significantly more expensive than, say, Google’s $ 99 NotGoggles. , will sell 10 million units in the first quarter.
Former Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos got his astronaut badge and we launched Captain Kirk (William Shatner) into space, making 2021 the year of private space travel. However, space tourism is only the Kármán line of space possibilities. We still have Mars to attack and the Moon to re-explore.
No one will be returning to the moon in 2022, but we will see an astronaut’s first private spacewalk. It would’ve been Jeff Bezos, but Blue Origin’s New Shepard only spends around 3 minutes in space on each launch, not long enough to venture outside the capsule.
The task will ultimately fall to an upcoming SpaceX Dragon or Starship launch. Elon Musk himself will do the honors, stepping out of the capsule to affix a Dogecoin sticker to the shiny silver surface of his spaceship.
2021 marked another chapter in this long and interminable pandemic existence. However, by 2022 our approach might look a little different.
As the world knows about its sixteenth COVID variant (YaMomma), the CDC and WHO will launch a global vaccine pass for Android and iPhone that works with virtually all health systems, vaccination verification, test site and outcome. No more cards, just phones that you can use against new NFC based vax readers and go everywhere (as long as you have a mask and lots of hand sanitizer).
All systems will crash when Apple launches iOS 16 and Google launches Android 13.
We’ve learned a lot about how the internet actually works in 2021, most not so good. 2022 will mark the start of people taking proactive steps to ensure its stability.
Tired of too frequent outages, governments around the world will offer massive redundancies for backbone systems. Unsure of what they mean by this, Amazon, Cloudflare and others will unveil the v2 of their cloud services. AWS2 and Cloudflare2 will launch in mid-2022 and crash for a few days in August 2022 and again in December.
With 5G support on Apple iPhones and most major versions of Android, as well as the rapid expansion of 5G support by T-Mobile, Verizon, and AT&T, most of us have at least experienced the tremendous throughput power of 5G. Most of us were also disappointed.
The incredible promise of 5G will come true in 2022. We will finally see traffic lights talking to each other and passing cars via 5G. A few overzealous automakers will add audio reminders that go off when a traffic light notices a car driving at high speed or not slowing down for yellow. Audio systems will shout “Slow down!” At irregular intervals, all thanks to the promise of 5G.
For many of us, the images of a robot troupe dancing to “Do You Love Me” (delivered just in late 2020) are hard to shake. These achievements may be pale compared to what I think awaits us in 2022.
Boston Dynamics and Jeff Bezos will team up to deliver the first Bezos Bot, a robot that looks like Jeff Bezos but has no interest in Star Trek, space, or online shopping. It will be an avid fitness enthusiast, however, and will help its new owners get in shape with lots of curls.
In the meantime, Elon Musk’s teased humanoid robot will be delayed indefinitely because he claims someone has deposited a virus on the backend of his robot development system. You would have seen Bezos grin ominously elsewhere.
Around 100 million people now wear Apple Watches, and very few of them do so not just for the weather or for useful pop-up notifications. They wear them to keep track of their health. The trend for bodily wrist diagnostics will accelerate in 2022.
We’ll see the first portable blood draw from a startup known as Thernot. It won’t be widely adopted because… well, for so many obvious reasons. But Apple, Samsung, Fitbit, and others will read your blood sugar levels without touching real blood, and other companies will be looking to add mobile saliva analyzers to the mix. Many complaints about people spitting on their watches in public hamper their widespread adoption.
Silicon compression (chip shortage) is now expected to last until 2023. However, this will not slow down chip innovation. The race is on for faster, smaller and faster fuel efficiency.
Intel, Apple, and AMD will showcase conceptual 1-nanometer chips that prove to be more powerful and energy-efficient than any previous silicon.
Every company is abandoning their plans by the end of 2022 as they see they continue to lose microscopic chips midway through the manufacturing process.